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Sunday, November 30, 2014
Egypt's Mubarak cleared of murders
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Former NY Gov. Cuomo hospitalized
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Long-missing boy found in Georgia
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Baby buried on Sydney beach
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Hospital: Pele lucid, improving
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Taiwan's premier resigns after loss
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What do we want from Bill Cosby now?
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Deportation reprieve is no free ride
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U.N.: Ebola cases now top 16,000
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China: 15 dead after knife, bomb attack
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Pope hears Turkish Christians
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Hughes death: Why we crave danger
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Ferguson: End of age of Obama?
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Stunning reversal as Mubarak cleared
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Ferguson: How can city rebuild?
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'Justice is unfair to minorities'
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Ferguson cop who shot teen to resign
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Poll: Leftist to be Uruguay's president
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Study: Earth has force fields?
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Colombian rebels free general hostage
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NASA spaceship ready for test flight
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Russians protest hospital closings
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U.S.: Boys rescued from snow cave
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Spies being beaten by data
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NFL lifts ban for punching fiance
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Picasso 'gifted' in Cup allegations
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Cricket umpire killed in freak accident
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Missing Ohio football player found dead
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Protestors and police spar
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Protesters, police spar in Hong Kong
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Airstrikes mark shift in focus, to ISIS 'capital'
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Did U.S. abandon tribe?
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Why ISIS is spreading in Muslim world
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Pope begins mending Christian split
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Ferrari wrecked in fiery crash
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Shoppers brawl over U.S. deals
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Hughes death: Fears for bowler
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From 'soccer prisoner' to waiter
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U.S. couple win appeal in Qatar
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2014 could be hottest on record
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Three killed around protests in Cairo
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Saturday, November 29, 2014
Hear from resignation letter
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New threat: 'Racism without racists'
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Why Ferguson touched a nerve
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What's next for Darren Wilson?
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U.N. torture panel: Ferguson 'tragedy'
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The hug shared around the world
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Taliban kill 2 aid workers
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Lindsey Vonn 'inspired' by Tiger
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Real register win streak record
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High-flying Chelsea draw blank
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At least 120 killed in Nigeria attack
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Murray to wed girlfriend Kim Sears
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Long-missing boy found in Georgia
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Now Egypt's revolution is dead
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30 ISIS fighters killed in Syrian city
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Pele lucid, talking, improving
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Revelations over N. Korea execution
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Taiwan premier resigns after loss
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U.N.: Ebola cases now top 16,000
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China: 4 killed in knife, bomb attack
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Mubarak still won't go free
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Photos: Mubarak over the years
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Pope in Turkey to boost religious ties
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Egypt's Mubarak to hear verdict
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Police seek werewolf gunman
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Ferguson: End of age of Obama?
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Opinion: Why #BlackoutBlackFriday?
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Friday, November 28, 2014
Source: Battle plan to win ISIS city
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University cuts ties with Cosby
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Gunman killed by police
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Mayhem as 'Black Friday' lands in UK
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Shoppers brawl over U.S. deals
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Hughes: Bowler faces 'heartbreak'
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From 'soccer prisoner' to waiter
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More glory for California Chrome?
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What is Boko Haram?
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Islamist militant attacks in Africa
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'Three killed' around protests in Cairo
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New threat: 'Racism without racists'
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The new brooms
SHE finally did it. Nearly a week after her intentions were trailed in the Brazilian press President Dilma Rousseff, who narrowly won re-election in October, named her new economic team yesterday. Joaquim Levy (pictured above, in focus) will be the new finance minister and Nelson Barbosa (right) the minister of planning. Alexandre Tombini (left) keeps his post at the head of the central bank. As Bello explains this week (in a column written just before the appointments were made official), they portend a big change from the course Ms Rousseff pursued during her first term.
Brazil’s GDP report today underscores just why change is needed. The economy grew a negligible 0.1% in the third quarter of 2014, half the expected rate. After two consecutive quarters of shrinking output, the growth in the third quarter ends a technical recession. But it was mainly due to a burst of pre-election spending by the government. As the new economic team tightens fiscal and monetary policy, growth is likely to fall back in the near...Continue reading
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Striker jailed for on-field head butt
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Kidnapped girls 'not forgotten'
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Burned bodies found in Mexico
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Bomb squad called in U.S. shooting
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Football legend Pele in hospital
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Stripped women: Prosecutions urged
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U.N. torture panel: Ferguson 'tragedy'
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Pope faces complex scene
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Blasts hit Nigeria mosque
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Hollande visits Ebola-stricken Guinea
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N. Korea leader's sister gets govt. job
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Andy Murray to wed girlfriend Kim
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Indian cousins 'hanged themselves'
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Mayhem in Black Friday shopping
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What Iran talks mean for ISIS fight
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Kim Jong Un's aunt 'died after husband's execution'
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New Kim images after absence
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Ex-bodyguard details abuse
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Things to know before visiting NK
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Pope in Turkey to boost religious ties
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13 dead as inmates binge on drugs
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Ferguson: End of age of Obama?
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Why blacks want Black Friday boycott
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Cricket world mourns Phil Hughes
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Ferguson residents come together for day of kindness
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Business saved by protesters
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'Justice is unfair to minorities'
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What now for victim's family?
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What's next for Darren Wilson?
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Authorities clear protest site
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Football: More records for Messi
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Motorsport: Hamilton savors title
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Tennis: Fed wins first Davis Cup
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Who is Joshua Wong?
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Hong Kong protests: Who's who
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Thursday, November 27, 2014
The Cyprus problem: Intractable—or insoluble?
EUROPEAN UNION countries loudly criticise Russia for creating frozen conflicts in Georgia, Moldova and, now, Ukraine. Yet they are quieter about their own case of Cyprus, an EU member with an unrecognised Turkish-Cypriot north. This frozen conflict is older: over 50 years have passed since clashes broke out between Turkish- and Greek-Cypriots, 40 since Turkey invaded and grabbed northern Cyprus and ten since the Annan plan for unification that Turkish-Cypriots accepted but Greek-Cypriots rejected.Bitter experience recommends scepticism about talks on Cyprus. Even so, a sixth round is under way. In February the two sides agreed to work for a bizonal, bicommunal federation “with political equality”. A new UN envoy, Espen Barth Eide, a former Norwegian foreign minister, arrived in September. The (Greek-Cypriot) president, Nicos Anastasiades, who backed the Annan plan, is eager for a deal. He knows well the cost of not having one: from the garden of his presidential palace in Nicosia (“Europe’s last divided city”) he can see the Turkish-Cypriot flag emblazoned on the Pentadaktylos mountains.Two newer developments ought to spur the negotiators on. One...
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Ukraine’s government: Tragedy and farce
“SHAME! Shame! Shame!” roared the crowd when Ukraine’s leaders appeared at a recent ceremony honouring the Maidan victims. Protesters accused President Petro Poroshenko of breaking promises. A year after the “revolution of dignity” began, the politicians are being anything but dignified. A month has passed since the general election and still Ukraine has no government. Fights over cabinet posts or parliamentary seating speak to a lack of urgency. “It’s a circus, a kindergarten,” says Maria Zhartovskaya, political correspondent for Ukrainskaya Pravda, a website.Now five pro-Western parties have signed a coalition agreement. Mr Poroshenko and Arseniy Yatsenyuk, the prime minister, promise that the government will follow soon. But competition is hampering negotiations. The voters unexpectedly put Mr Yatsenyuk’s People’s Front first in the election. That was a blow to Mr Poroshenko, and leaves Ukraine with two power centres. The pair have descended into disagreement and posturing, raising fears of a repeat of the tensions that emerged after the Orange revolution. Mr Poroshenko and Mr Yatsenyuk have never been close. Ukraine’s Western allies are working hard to keep them together. Yet efforts to merge their parties into one ahead of the election failed—some say the two could not agree on a name. Lviv’s mayor, Andriy Sadovyi, whose Samopomich party is the...
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Italy’s political right: Salve Salvini
SILVIO BERLUSCONI is in a fix. And how he tries to get out will have repercussions for Matteo Renzi’s reforming government. The media tycoon’s predicament became clear on November 24th as results came in from a regional election in Emilia-Romagna, once the heartland of Italian communism. The voters duly elected as their governor the candidate of Mr Renzi’s centre-left Democratic party (PD).The shock came in the voting for the region’s legislature: Mr Berlusconi’s Forza Italia party, the biggest on the right, polled a humiliating 8%. That was less than half the tally of the Northern League, a party that was written off two years ago after a financing scandal involving its founder, Umberto Bossi. In December 2013 the leadership of the League passed to Matteo Salvini. The 41-year-old Mr Salvini has all but ditched Mr Bossi’s (never very convincing) Northern separatism to focus the League almost exclusively on causes dear to the European far right, represented by Marine Le Pen’s National Front in France.“I call it La Ligue Nationale,” says Ilvo Diamanti, professor of political science at the University of...
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Workers in Turkey: Not so safe
“THAT building was erected on my brother’s blood,” Damla Kiyak, a 20-year-old student, declares. Two years ago her 30-year-old brother, Baris, a construction worker, burned to death, with ten others, in a tent on the site of a shopping mall in Esenyurt. This urban sprawl on the outskirts of Istanbul is a symbol of the building boom that is enriching Turkey’s businessmen and politicians—and claiming the lives of thousands. The tent in which Baris died was meant for 50 people, but over 100 were crammed into it. They jammed electric blankets and stoves into a power outlet meant for telephone chargers. The tent was flammable. “Inspectors kept warning the owners that a fire was around the corner. They did nothing,” says Ms Kiyak, whose mother was approached by the firm to buy her silence. A legal fight over negligence by the owner continues.At least 14,455 workers have died in industrial accidents since the Justice and Development (AK) party came to power in 2002. “Turkey has the worst worker safety record in Europe,” says Murat Cakir of Yangin Kulesi, an advocacy group. The neglect was revealed by a recent mine explosion in Soma, which killed 302, the highest toll in Turkish history. There was no refuge chamber; oxygen masks did not work; methane leaks and fires occurred daily.In October in Ermenek, another mining town, 18 miners died when a shaft flooded. “My son doesn’t know...
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Charlemagne: Europe’s great alchemist
THE medieval alchemists who tried to transmute base metals into gold shrouded their theories in impenetrable mystic language. By comparison Jean-Claude Juncker, the president of the European Commission, was restrained in his choice of metaphor as he announced his long-awaited investment package this week in the European Parliament. His plan, he said, was a “watering can” that would nurture the European economy back to growth. But he appears to have placed his hopes in the same mysterious forces channelled by the ancients in their gnostic quest.With a hint of reproach to his predecessors, Mr Juncker argues that the EU is facing its “last chance”. Populists and demagogues, he suggests darkly, lie in wait if Europe cannot find the will to tackle its problems of low growth and high unemployment. Sceptics doubt whether Mr Juncker, a longtime prime minister of Luxembourg and consummate Brussels insider, is the man to reinvigorate Europe. But even before taking office on November 1st he signalled that he meant business, streamlining the clunky structure of the commission and promising a clutch of early initiatives.Chief among these was a planned three-year €300 billion...
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American politics: The odd couple
The Professor and the President: Daniel Patrick Moynihan in the Nixon White House. By Stephen Hess. Brookings Institution Press; 172 pages; $24. Buy from Amazon.com, Amazon.co.ukRICHARD NIXON and Daniel Patrick Moynihan were a most ill-assorted pair. Indeed, in his new book, “The Professor and the President”, Stephen Hess, a Republican journalist who worked with Moynihan for Nixon in the White House before a long career at the Brookings Institution, asks whether “Of all the odd couples in American public life, were they not the oddest?”Nixon, scowling and paranoid, the most combative (though not the most conservative) of Republican politicians, had survived eight often humiliating years as Ike Eisenhower’s vice-president. When he ran for the White House in 1960 he was beaten by John Kennedy by a handful of votes. He became a laughing-stock for the press when he failed to become governor of California two years later.Moynihan was six foot five inches (nearly two metres) of Irish brawn and charm, one of the “Harvard bastards” Nixon disdained but sometimes employed. He liked to say he was “baptised a Catholic but born a Democrat...
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French history: Spring uprising
Massacre: The Life and Death of the Paris Commune of 1871. By John Merriman. Yale University Press; 324 pages; $29.99 and £20. Buy from Amazon.com, Amazon.co.ukTHE crushing of the Paris Commune is still hard to comprehend. Over two days in May 1871, 130,000 troops from the regular French army entered Paris to suppress an improvised city government calling itself La Commune. Historians still dispute the figures, but seven days later the army had killed perhaps 10,000 defenders, unarmed helpers and hapless bystanders. Prisoners were shot out of hand. Of 36,000 people arrested, around 10,000 were executed, imprisoned or deported.In “Massacre”, John Merriman an historian at Yale University, combines two narrative tasks with considerable art: an overview of the tangled background and vivid close shots from the street. The collapse of France’s armies in an ill-chosen war with Prussia a year earlier...
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Indian politics: Witness to a landslide
2014: The Election that Changed India. By Rajdeep Sardesai. Penguin Viking; 372 pages; $20 and £16. Buy from Amazon.com, Amazon.co.ukWITH a couple of weeks to go in India’s recent election, a six-week marathon involving more than 800m registered voters in 28 states, strategists from the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) felt that their champion, Narendra Modi, needed something extra. Using more than 2,500 technicians, they launched a campaign of daily hologram shows. These brought Mr Modi, in shimmering 3D, live to 1,300 locations and an estimated 7m people over 12 days. Each daily showing cost millions, says Rajdeep Sardesai, a well-known Indian television journalist, in a new book about the election.Whether it has changed the country is not yet clear. But the campaign was unprecedented, not least for the exorbitant sums spent by the BJP. This helped the Hindu nationalist...
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Harvard Art Museums: Town and gown
RENZO PIANO has long fought against what he calls “the mystification of culture”. The Pompidou Centre in Paris, which he designed with Richard Rogers and which opened in 1977, was a manifesto for a new kind of museum, a thumb in the eye to those who believe that art must be quarantined from the unwashed masses.Over the decades Mr Piano has shed some of the brashness of youth, but that initial populist impulse remains. Now 77, he is the most prolific designer of museums in the world, with more than 21 projects completed so far and more on the drawing board. Surprisingly, given his iconoclastic start, that success has been founded on tact and a subtle appreciation for the nuances of a site and his clients’ needs. Mr Piano has constructed his share of eye-catching monuments, from the sleek Menil Collection in Houston to the 87-floor glass “Shard” in London. But he is at his best when forced to adopt a more modest profile: accommodating an existing structure, playing new forms off old or breathing life into institutions suffocated by the weight of their own histories.Mr Piano’s tact is highlighted in his latest...
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Wonder Woman: A bird, but not a plane
The Secret History of Wonder Woman. By Jill Lepore. Knopf; 448 pages; $29.95. Scribe; £20. Buy from Amazon.com, Amazon.co.ukWONDER WOMAN appeared just as America entered the second world war in December 1941. With her skimpy, star-spangled shorts, red bustier, tiara and kinky, knee-high boots, she was an instant hit. Of the thousands of comic-book characters created in the 1940s only Superman and Batman were more popular. Although her star has since waned, Wonder Woman has never ceased solving crimes and triumphing over baddies.Now, thanks to a new book by Jill Lepore, her secrets and, more intriguingly, those of her creators, are out—and quite unexpected. “The Secret History of Wonder Woman” is not just her history, but a story of feminism and birth control, with a Bohemian ménage-à -trois at its heart.Ms Lepore is a Harvard historian and journalist. In 2011 she wrote “Birthright”, an...
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Patrick Modiano: French letters
Suspended Sentences: Three Novellas. By Patrick Modiano. Translated by Mark Polizzotti. Yale University Press; 232 pages; $16 and £12.99. Buy from Amazon.com, Amazon.co.ukTHE Swedish Academy hailed Patrick Modiano as “a Marcel Proust of our time” when it awarded him the Nobel prize in literature last month. “That is encouraging,” the enigmatic writer said before he backed out of the limelight by announcing that he was dedicating the prize to his grandson.In his native France Mr Modiano is a household name, with 30-odd novels, children’s books, film scripts and song lyrics to his credit. His works are considered classics and can be read in 36 languages, but he is largely unknown in the English-speaking world because so little of his writing has been translated. His publishers hope the Nobel award will change that; Yale University Press has brought forward the English-language publication of “Suspended Sentences: Three Novellas” which was not due until next year.Mr Modiano’s work obsessively revisits the German occupation of France in the second world war, throwing light on some of the conflict’s murkier recesses. His early...
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Computer spying: Attack of the cybermen
IF ASKED why they spied on the computers of their rivals (and allies), the authors of Regin, a sophisticated computer virus that seems to have been designed by a Western government, would presumably echo the proverbial bank robber, and reply “because that’s where the secrets are”.As the world has gone digital, spying has, too. Regin is just the latest in a trend that first came to public notice in 2010, when a piece of American and Israeli software called Stuxnet was revealed to have been responsible for sabotaging part of Iran’s nuclear programme. Since then have come Flame, Red October, DarkHotel and others (see article); more surely lurk undiscovered in the world’s networks. But unlike the indiscriminate surveillance revealed by Edward Snowden, these chunks of malware seem, like traditional spying, to be targeted at specific governments or even individuals.For spies, such digital espionage has advantages over the shoe-leather sort. Computers are stuffed with data that can be copied and beamed...
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The European Commission’s investment plan: Fiddling while Europe burns
EUROPE is in dire economic straits. Growth in the euro zone is stuck below 1%, unemployment is above 11% and inflation is hovering around 0.4%, far from the European Central Bank’s 2% goal and dangerously near outright deflation. This week the Paris-based OECD rich-country club warned that the euro zone was mired in stagnation, and added that it was dragging down the world economy. Even the pope has joined in, calling the European Union “elderly and haggard”.Such a situation surely calls for an urgent and decisive response. On November 26th the European Commission’s new boss, Jean-Claude Juncker, duly unveiled what he sees as the centrepiece of his presidency: a grand investment plan worth €315 billion ($392 billion) that officials are claiming is the best way to create extra demand in Europe. Yet although Mr Juncker’s headline number sounds impressive, the sums behind it are puny. And the chances that it will kick-start growth, as Brussels is suggesting, are minimal (see article).For a start,...
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Free exchange: Frequent but inefficient
IN THE wake of the publication earlier this year of “Flash Boys”, a book that criticised high-frequency trading (HFT)—the use of algorithms to buy and sell shares and other financial assets at vanishingly short intervals—regulators and investors have been debating whether and how to curb it. One mooted response is to introduce deliberate delays before trades are executed. Another is to shuffle the order in which they are processed. HFT firms maintain that no change is needed, on the grounds that they help to lubricate markets by increasing volumes and ironing out inconsistencies in prices. But a recent paper argues that they do indeed create inefficiencies and suggests a more fundamental reform to how markets operate in order to stave them off.*“Flash Boys” took HFT firms to task for a strategy called front-running. When an investor is buying or selling a big block of shares, it is common to split the order across multiple exchanges (say, the NASDAQ and the NYSE) in search of a better overall price. HFT algorithms can observe the order on one exchange and “front-run” the investor to the next one, buying up the available stock there and selling it to the...
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The falling yen: Low-calibre munitions
SHINZO ABE has a knack for stirring thoughts of war. The Japanese prime minister’s tributes to his country’s war dead and his desire to alter its pacifist constitution have prompted China and South Korea to accuse him of militarism. Then there are his views on the yen. His efforts to reduce its value have spurred talk of an Asian currency war, on the assumption that China and South Korea would also try to steer their currencies lower to make sure their exports remained competitive.Kim Moo-sung, a leader of South Korea’s ruling party, called this week for the government to gird itself for a currency clash. Some saw China’s interest-rate cut last week as a first salvo, since it prompted a fall in the yuan. Happily, however, the chances of a fully-fledged Asian currency war are, like those of a military confrontation, much slimmer than alarmists suggest.Mr Abe has been calling for a cheap yen to help Japanese exporters since before he took office, in late 2012. At his urging, the Bank of Japan has adopted a policy of “quantitative easing”—creating money to buy bonds, in the hope of igniting inflation. This has pummelled the yen, which is down...
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Computerised espionage: The spy who hacked me
IT IS 30 years since William Gibson, an American-Canadian author, wrote “Neuromancer”, in which he coined the term “cyberspace” and imagined a future of hackers for hire and giant corporations raiding each other’s computer systems in search of secrets. He was right about the direction of travel, but wrong about some of the details. For it is governments, not corporations or anti-social teenagers, who have become the world’s best hackers.The latest example came on November 23rd, when Symantec, an American antivirus firm, announced the discovery of a piece of software called Regin, which it had found lurking on computers in Russia, Saudi Arabia and several other countries, sniffing for secrets. Its sophistication and stealth led Symantec to conclude that it must have been written by a nation-state.Regin (the arbitrarily chosen name comes from a text string found in the bug’s innards) is only the latest in a long line of government-sponsored malware (see table). The most famous is Stuxnet, discovered in 2010, which was designed, almost certainly by America and Israel, to hijack industrial-control systems. It was deployed against Iran’s nuclear...
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Setting monetary policy by popular vote: Full of holes
THE Swiss franc is a volatile currency that is fast becoming worthless. That, at least, is what some members of Switzerland’s right-wing People’s Party (SVP) would have you believe. Thanks to the SVP, Switzerland will vote on November 30th on a radical proposal to boost the central bank’s gold reserves. Bigger reserves, activists argue, will make the Swiss economy more stable and prosperous. In fact the opposite is true.SVP activists forced the referendum by collecting the necessary 100,000 signatures. They are annoyed at the behaviour over the past few years of the Swiss National Bank (SNB), Switzerland’s central bank. In the late 1990s it came to the conclusion that it held far too much gold. Its reserves were worth 25% of annual imports, while Germany’s were worth just 6%. The tumbling gold price at the time also made the hoard seem less sensible. By 2005 the SNB had sold half its gold—1,300 tonnes.The SNB then added insult to injury, by acquiring big reserves of a different sort. When the financial crisis hit, investors flocked to the Swiss franc, which is widely seen as a safe haven. That...
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Britain’s public finances: Check your sums, guys
“TODAY, we take decisive action to deal with the debts we have inherited.” So declared George Osborne, Britain’s chancellor, in 2010 when announcing his plans to close Britain’s structural budget deficit by 2015. He did indeed take decisive action, but it did not deal with the debts. When Mr Osborne delivers his final Autumn Statement of this parliament on December 3rd, he will be less than half way to achieving his goal.The problem is no longer growth, which is roaring ahead at an annual rate of around 3%, nor spending cuts, which have largely gone to plan, but income-tax receipts. They were meant to grow by £11 billion this financial year, but have managed only an eighth of that. That’s mostly because many higher-paying jobs have been replaced with lower-paying ones, and tax cuts for low earners have therefore left the Treasury short. As a result borrowing, which was meant to fall in 2014-15 from £108 billion to £96 billion, has risen by £4 billion and debt will grow as a percentage of GDP this year. At 5.3% of GDP, Britain’s deficit is bigger than those of France, Italy and even Greece.It doesn’t add upThe Conservatives’ latest plan is to deliver a...
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Investing in government debt: Where others fear to tread
WHEN the second world war broke out, Sir John Templeton, one of the founding fathers of Franklin Templeton, a big asset manager, made a shrewd bet. Convinced that the best time to invest was “the point of maximum pessimism”, he bought stakes in every NYSE-listed company whose shares were selling at a dollar or less, including 34 that were in bankruptcy. In 1945, when the war finally ended, he sold them for a 400% profit.Michael Hasenstab (pictured), who manages $190 billion of government debt for Franklin Templeton, is Templeton’s philosophical heir. Soft-spoken, measured and publicity-shy, Mr Hasenstab is the antithesis of “bond king” Bill Gross, but with an equally impressive record. The main fund he manages has returned 8% a year for the past decade, double the average for funds that invest in sovereign bonds.Big, contrarian bets have become Mr Hasenstab’s trademark. Since 2010, he has been investing enthusiastically in Ukrainian government debt, and now owns $8.8 billion of the country’s $16 billion of international bonds. In April, as eastern Ukraine descended into war, Mr Hasenstab appeared in a promotional video from Kiev, touting the great potential of...
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Race in America: The fury of Ferguson
RIOTS are rarely so widely anticipated. By 8pm on November 24th, when the prosecutor in Ferguson, Missouri, announced the grand jury’s decision not to charge a police officer with a crime for shooting an unarmed black teenager, Michael Brown, cops in riot gear were already in place and barriers surrounded municipal buildings. Mr Brown’s parents and Barack Obama called for calm. Yet soon America’s TV screens were full of burning police cars, crowds coughing on tear gas, and young black men throwing bricks and smashing shops. America’s history of racial injustice looked as potent as ever.That would be the wrong conclusion to draw. Looking back at the riots in Los Angeles in 1992 that followed the acquittal of four white police officers who had savagely beaten a black motorist, Rodney King, a lot has changed. America has a black president. The LA riots, which left 53 dead, happened in one of America’s great cities, and sparked violence in others. This time the focus was a struggling suburb; in Los Angeles black teenagers protested peacefully alongside white ones.Blacks plainly still suffer prejudice across America: they account for 86% of the vehicle stops made by...
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Celebrity economists: The sages of the pampas
ECONOMICS is not a profession for the publicity-hungry—except in Argentina. Consider Tomás Bulat, who holds three degrees in the subject, hosts a weekly television show about it and has written two best-selling books on it. He boasts over 179,000 followers on Twitter. In comparison, Ricardo DarÃn, arguably Argentina’s most famous actor, has only 41,000; Andrés Calamaro, a well-known rock star, has 34,000. At a recent lunch in the seaside city of Mar del Plata, your correspondent was intrigued to see waiters and diners fawn over Mr Bulat. A neighbouring table invited him to share their calamari and a particularly bold waitress hugged him and took his photograph to show her friends.Other economists are equally feted. MartÃn Lousteau, a former economy minister and current congressman, has 162,000 Twitter followers and is frequently hounded for autographs. MartÃn Redrado, a former head of the central bank who now runs a consultancy, has 127,000 Twitter followers. Both have dated a series of stars and appear almost as frequently in tabloids as in the financial press. A few years ago, Mr Lousteau...
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Trustbusting in the internet age: Should digital monopolies be broken up?
ALTHOUGH no company is mentioned by name, it is very clear which American internet giant the European Parliament has in mind in a resolution that has been doing the rounds in the run-up to a vote on November 27th. One draft calls for “unbundling search engines from other commercial services” to ensure a level playing field for European companies and consumers. This is the latest and most dramatic outbreak of Googlephobia in Europe.Europe’s former competition commissioner, JoaquÃn Almunia, brokered a series of settlements this year requiring Google to give more prominence to rivals’ shopping and map services alongside its own in search results. But MEPs want his successor, Margrethe Vestager, to take a firmer line. Hence the calls to dismember the company.The parliament does not actually have the power to carry out this threat. But it touches on a question that has been raised by politicians from Washington to Seoul and brings together all sorts of issues from privacy to industrial policy (see...
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Bankers’ pay: Bonded labour
PAYING workers with shares in their employer is a time-tested way to ensure hired hands have the same interests as the firm’s owners. But the trick does not work so well with banks: bosses paid in stock have an incentive to expand a bank’s balance-sheet but not its loss-absorbing equity, increasing the likelihood of a bail-out as well as a bump in the share price. So regulators are speaking highly of a new sort of instrument to align incentives better: “performance bonds”. These are designed to make bankers cautious: they would not pay out for as long as ten years, during which time their value would not increase, but might fall if the bank founders.The idea, promoted by Bill Dudley, the head of the New York branch of the Federal Reserve, is roughly equivalent to demanding that senior bankers deposit their annual bonuses in the bank’s vaults for ten years. The delay is to make sure that the deals struck by the employees concerned do not eventually sour; if they do, the money would be used to help absorb the associated losses.Regulators think such bonds can be used to nudge financiers away from dodgy dealings, too. Fines meted out to banks for misbehaviour—of which there have been plenty in recent years—are in effect charged to shareholders. Deducting them instead from the pot of bankers’ future pay would punish those responsible instead.Mark Carney, governor of the Bank of...
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America’s economy: The lonely locomotive
THERE is a spring in America’s step these days. A revision released this week raised annualised economic growth in the third quarter to 3.9%; it has averaged more than 4% in the past two quarters. The irrepressible stockmarket keeps hitting new highs, the most recent on November 26th. Job growth is accelerating. This is all the more remarkable because the rest of the world has hit the buffers. Japan has slid into recession, Europe is flirting with deflation and China has cut interest rates as growth flags. On November 25th the OECD, a club mainly of rich countries, said its members’ economies will grow just 1.8% this year and 2.3% next, about half a point slower than projected in May. Risks, it said, are on the downside.Why the divergence? In part, it is a statistical quirk. America’s economy shrank in the first quarter, so its recent strength is from a low base. Output in the third quarter was up an unspectacular 2.4% from a year earlier; the pace of growth in the current quarter will probably be similar. That is still much better than the rest of the world, though, for which there are two main reasons: trade remains a small part of America’s...
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The Nigerian economy: Well below par
WHEN the price of oil tumbles, you should worry about a country that relies on the stuff for 75% of government revenue and 95% of exports. That country is Nigeria, Africa’s biggest economy. Earlier this year oil was selling at well over $100 a barrel. It is below $80 now. Nigeria’s currency, the naira, is diving; the central bank is shedding foreign-exchange reserves in its defence. On November 25th it hiked interest rates by a percentage point to 13% (the first increase in three years) and said it had reduced its target rate for the naira (against the dollar) by a further 8%. That will not be the end of the story.Since 2004 the Nigerian economy has expanded at an average rate of 7% a year—faster than the west African average. High oil prices spurred the boom: Nigeria exports 2m barrels a day, much of it especially prized by refiners for its low sulphur, which makes it easier to meet environmental rules. Unfortunately, most of the extra 3m barrels of daily production America has added since 2011 have been low in sulphur too. As a result, low-sulphur oil has fallen even more dramatically in price than other sorts. The Economist Intelligence Unit, a sister company of The Economist, reckons that in 2015 Nigeria’s oil exports will bring in $67 billion, an 18% drop from last year, even though its output is rising.As oil revenue has dropped, the naira has...
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Low-cost airlines: Making Laker’s dream come true
SIR FREDDIE LAKER, the pioneer of cheap “no frills” transatlantic flights in the 1970s (pictured), could not make his ventures succeed. But he did inspire the low-cost carriers that have brought affordable air travel to the masses over the past 15 years or so. Ryanair of Ireland is now the world’s biggest international airline by passenger numbers, carrying 81m people last year. Budget airlines round the world, from Southwest in the United States to AirAsia in Malaysia, have succeeded where Laker failed by sticking to shorter routes.Subsequent attempts to apply the low-cost model to long-haul routes have flopped as badly as Laker. Oasis Hong Kong Airlines went into liquidation in 2008, a year after starting cheap long-haul flights to London and Vancouver. More recently, AirAsia’s sister airline for longer flights, AirAsia X, abandoned its attempts to run budget flights to Europe. The incumbent full-service airlines have lost much of their short-haul business (flights of up to three hours or so) to the low-cost carriers, but they continue to dominate the skies on the longest routes.However, a number of airlines in Asia, AirAsia X among them, have continued to test...
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Schumpeter: Making a success of succession
ON NOVEMBER 24th Louis Chenevert, the chairman and chief executive of United Technologies, resigned abruptly without explanation. The rumour mills began to whirr: the American giant, which makes helicopters, aircraft engines and lifts, is not given to delivering surprises. But the company acted immediately: Greg Hayes, the chief financial officer, was quickly promoted to CEO, and Edward Kangas, the firm’s lead independent director, was made chairman. Analysts praised the swift decisions, and the company’s share price rose.Yet two days later shares in Thomas Cook, a travel company, plunged when it said its boss, Harriet Green, was leaving and that the executive who had been preparing to succeed her, Peter Fankhauser, would slip smoothly into her seat. Even when firms have a succession plan, investors may still take fright when it is carried out, especially when the departing boss has been as successful as Ms Green. But the risks are far higher when there is no plan, and this is often the case. A survey this year by the National Association of Corporate Directors found that two-thirds of American public and private companies had no succession plan. Another survey,...
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Budget carriers in India: In short-haul for the long run
“I AM running a marathon,” says Jeh Wadia, the founder of GoAir, a low-cost Indian airline. “I am not increasing my pace.” In India’s competitive air-travel business, slow-and-steady wins the race, reckons Mr Wadia. GoAir started in 2004, has 19 aircraft and a modest 9.2% market share (see chart). It has seen bigger carriers come and go. Two years ago Kingfisher Airlines, an offshoot of a drinks company, ceased flying, going the way of Air Deccan, Air Sahara and Paramount Airways before it. GoAir may be small but it is profitable, a boast some bigger rivals cannot make.Air India, the state-owned carrier, is a money-pit. Its latest bail-out, agreed in April 2012, gives it until 2021 to complete a turnaround. It is tough to compete with a rival whose losses are endlessly underwritten, or with other ailing airlines that slash fares to stay alive. In other parts of the world budget airlines can cut costs by outsourcing maintenance, baggage-handling and security. Indian airlines must keep such functions in-house, although the regulations may soon be relaxed. There are other costs. Aviation fuel is heavily taxed. Trained pilots are scarce. No wonder...
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Pharmaceuticals: The price of failure
IN THE pharmaceuticals business there are few issues more loaded than the cost of developing a new drug. For a number of years estimates from industry groups on either side of the Atlantic have put it at $1.2 billion-1.8 billion. A new study by the Centre for the Study of Drug Development at Tufts University in Massachusetts reckons the average cost for drugs developed between 1995 and 2007 was $2.6 billion. Among those rejecting this new figure as highly misleading are Médecins Sans Frontières, a charity, and the Union for Affordable Cancer Treatment, a patients’ group.The main point of controversy over such estimates is that they roll in the costs of those drugs that failed to win approval and, for good measure, the cost of capital required for the R&D. Tufts’s estimate includes $1.2 billion for the return on capital forgone while a drug is in development, on the assumption it would have otherwise earned a generous 10.5% a year. The remaining $1.4 billion is the average R&D cost of a random selection of drugs, multiplied by risk factors that account for the chances of failure at each stage.Successful drugs cost far less than even the lower, $1.4...
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Electricity firms in Japan: Solar shambles
EIGHTY miles north-west of Fukushima’s hulking nuclear corpse, Yauemon Sato, a small businessman, has charged into the solar-power business. Mr Sato has rented land, hired a workforce and lined up ¥80m ($6.8m) in capital from local investors and banks. His company says it can produce electricity for about 700 households. But the local power utility is refusing to buy more than a quarter of it.Japan set one of the world’s highest tariffs for renewable energy in 2012, as part of a bid to live without atomic power following the Fukushima disaster. Electricity companies were ordered to pay ¥42 a kilowatt-hour (kWh) to novice producers like Mr Sato. The promise of such a high guaranteed price triggered more than 1.2m applications, mostly for solar-power installations. Japan’s power utilities say they are overwhelmed and have revolted. Most have begun blocking access to the transmission grid.Kyushu Electric, which supplies electricity to 9m customers in Japan’s sunny south, was the first to balk, in September, after 72,000 solar-power producers rushed to beat the deadline for a cut in the guaranteed tariff to ¥32 a kWh. The company says it will accept no new applications to join the grid until it has settled concerns about the reliability of supply from the new producers. The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) is backing the utilities, and mulling a further tariff cut...
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Estate agents: At home with technology
STEP into an estate agency in small-town America and it is as if the internet had never been invented. Prospective buyers pop by in person to pore over printed floor-plans; fax machines cough up contracts; and viewings are set up by telephone.The internet was supposed to be the great disintermediator. And of all the middlemen it should have wiped out by now, estate agents are among the least popular. This is especially so in America, where realtors, as they are called there, are far more expensive than in other rich countries. They charge sellers around 6% of the value of their homes, typically splitting this fee with agents representing the buyers. Yet most sellers still use them, and websites, like ForSaleByOwner, that offer to put them directly in touch with buyers have had limited success. Last year only 9% of home sales in America were conducted without an agent—down from 13% in 2008.So far the most successful online property firms are “aggregator” websites, which bring together listings from many estate agents, charging them fees for hosting the ads. They are thus a further layer of intermediary, taking the...
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The spirits business: Cheers to Uncle Sam
THERE was much self-congratulation among Diageo’s bosses in July last year when the British firm, the world’s biggest maker of spirits, completed its acquisition of Shui Jing Fang, a maker of baijiu, a liquor generally made of rice. But only 12 months later Diageo had to write down the value of its purchase, after its sales had fallen 78% in response to the Chinese government’s ban on the giving of “gifts” to officials.Diageo’s Chinese misadventure is a cautionary tale of the pitfalls of Western spirit-makers’ push into emerging markets. Such places are so attractive because the potential for growth is far higher in countries where the consumption of spirits, especially foreign ones, is still modest, and the number of people able to afford the luxury is soaring. But the risk of government meddling in businesses is higher too.The spirit-makers’ latest headache in emerging economies is Russia, amid its dispute with the West over Ukraine. So far Russia has excluded spirits from a ban it has imposed on some Western imports in response to sanctions—but that could easily change. Jack Daniel’s Tennessee Honey, a...
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The new Silk Road: Stretching the threads
EVERY day hundreds of trucks rumble across the border between China and Laos, carrying wood, textiles and agricultural goods to China, and home appliances, small machinery and building materials back. The Laotian frontier town of Boten is largely empty, apart from a few dusty shops selling snacks or machine parts, a row of rusting cars, vacant buildings and some geese; an advertisement for a Thai ladyboys’ performance hall is a rare sign of passing trade.Over the Chinese border the roads are smoother: palm trees line the main street of Mohan, which is flanked by logistics firms, translation companies, express-delivery services, mechanics and stores selling Thai bags, cosmetics and coffee; few buildings are more than ten years old (a spiffy-looking customs post, pictured above, is among the newest). Many residents are newcomers, too. Yet the Chinese town is no metropolis. Chickens walk the streets. Firms shut for several hours after lunch. Money-changers sit at the base of a banana tree accosting visitors.Both frontier towns aspire to something better. A deserted marketing suite just inside Laos features plans for a cross-border golf course. In Mohan work has...
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Spam messaging: 106 ways to annoy
SPAM, as every user of mobile phones in China is aware to their intense annoyance, is a roaring business in China. Its delivery-men drive through residential neighbourhoods in “text-messaging cars”, with illegal but easy-to-buy gadgetry they use to hijack links between mobile-phone users and nearby communications masts. They then target the numbers they harvest, blasting them with spam text messages before driving away. Mobile-phone users usually see only the wearisome results: another sprinkling of spam messages offering deals on flats, investment advice and dodgy receipts for tax purposes.Chinese mobile-users get more spam text messages than their counterparts almost anywhere else in the world. They received more than 300 billion of them in 2013, or close to one a day for each person using a mobile phone. Users in bigger markets like Beijing and Shanghai receive two a day, or more than 700 annually, accounting for perhaps one-fifth to one-third of all texts. Americans, by comparison, received an estimated 4.5 billion junk messages in 2011, or fewer than 20 per mobile-user for the year—out of a total of more than two trillion text messages sent....
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Electricity-free air conditioning: A cool idea
AIR conditioning is a transformative technology. It has made the world’s torrid climes pleasanter to live in, and enabled the siesta-free working habits of the temperate regions to move closer to the equator. But cooling buildings takes a lot of energy. Heat must be pumped actively from their interiors to their exteriors. Fully 15% of the electricity used by buildings in the United States is devoted to this task. If an idea dreamed up by Aaswath Raman of Stanford University and his colleagues comes to fruition, that may change. Dr Raman has invented a way to encourage buildings to dump their heat without the need for pumps and compressors. Instead, they simply radiate it into outer space.The idea, described in this week’s Nature, is both cunning and simple. Outer space is very cold (about 3°C above absolute zero) and very big, so it is the perfect heat sink. Earth radiates heat into it all the time. But this is compensated for by the heat the planet receives from the sun. To encourage one part of Earth’s surface (such as an individual building) to cool down, all you need do in principle is...
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Digital privacy: Cryptography for dummies
A CAMPAIGN by American and British lawmakers and security officials to get social-media companies to take more responsibility for handing over information about criminals and terrorists using their networks gathered pace this week. It is happening because, following the documents leaked by Edward Snowden, a former American spy, technology companies are beefing up the encryption of data to protect users’ privacy, making it more difficult for law-enforcement agencies to find out what people have been up to online.In Britain, a report into the jihadi-inspired killing of a soldier in London said websites such as Facebook provide a “safe haven for terrorists” to communicate. Such statements echo similar concerns made in America. James Comey, the director of the FBI, has said the encryption of computers, smartphones and other digital gadgets largely benefits paedophiles, criminals and terrorists.This is not how technology firms see it. Apple and Google, for instance, say they are making their mobile operating systems more secure because people and businesses want their data to be protected. This encryption is not only robust but often cannot be...
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Annals of scavenging: A diet to die for
VULTURES are not exactly picky eaters. The carcasses on which they dine swiftly decompose, broken down by micro-organisms that excrete a range of nasty toxins. This makes decaying flesh a perilous source of food for most animals. Vultures, by contrast, either wait until their chosen corpse has decayed enough for them to peck through its often tough skin, or find a quicker way in via natural orifices. They frequently choose the fast-food route, inserting their head deep into the anus of large decomposing animals and exposing themselves to a mass of faeces-borne pathogens. Far from haute cuisine, then.Just how far is described by the first-ever genomic analysis of the micro-organisms found on and in the facial skin and large intestine of vultures, published this week in Nature Communications. Warning: this is not lunchtime reading.Among an average of 528 types of bacterium found on the heads of 50 turkey and black vultures were those that can cause botulism, gangrene, tetanus, septicaemia, blood clots and metastatic abscesses in other animals. And although these birds did not have it, another study found Bacillus anthracis...
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Israel: Hamas terror plot foiled
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Is this a new, improved Obama?
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Video: Police shoot Tamir Rice
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1st human trial of Ebola vaccine shows promise
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UK diplomat killed in Kabul attack
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Syria airstrikes kill 95 in ISIS city
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Protesters: We won't give up fight
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Australia shocked by death
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Review needed of cricket safety?
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Wednesday, November 26, 2014
Ferguson: End of age of Obama?
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Cricketer Phil Hughes dies after 'freak accident'
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Batsman succumbs to injury
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Happy accident for Philae probe?
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World's most beautiful metro stations
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'America, we have a problem'
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Protesters threaten to reoccupy
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Pietersen: 'Horrible to see'
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Are cricket helmets safe?
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ISIS, Russia dogs U.S. defense chief
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Thousands protest in London
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How protests are seen abroad
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Scientology film has 160 lawyers
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Liverpool held by minnows
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Gunfight after Cartier jewel heist
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Officer: I thought he would kill me
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Anti-rape drive 'blames women'
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Whistleblower: Fifa can't fix itself
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Cameron enjoying 'Avatar' series
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Killed teen's mom: This could be your child
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Boy killed 2 seconds after police arrive
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Lebanese legend Sabah dies
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New threat: 'Racism without racists'
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Ferguson protesters flood streets across U.S.
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Stricken cricketer 'lives life to the full'
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'Women not equal,' Turkish President
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Obama's misstep on Hagel
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U.S. braced for holiday storm chaos
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Cricketer in coma after ball strike
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Earthquake strikes off Indonesia
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'Jurassic World' trailer out
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Attackers kill 4 polio workers
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